Jackson Hole is an annual meeting where central bankers, economists, and financial experts discuss the global economy and monetary policy. This time, all eyes will be on the Fed’s signals for its future monetary policy.

What to expect from the Fed?

Kevin Warsh will give his debut speech at the symposium as head of the Fed. He will probably speak about the state of the U.S. economy and the future of interest rates. Any unexpected signal could trigger movements in the dollar, gold, and major currency pairs.

Scenario 1: rate cut is possible

If Fed officials hint they are ready to cut rates, a more accommodative monetary policy could put pressure on the dollar and support gold and other assets.

Scenario 2: no hurry to cut rates

If the Fed insists they need to keep rates high for longer because of inflation risks, the dollar could strengthen instead.

Scenario 3: no clear signal

If we don’t learn anything specific, the market will keep looking for new clues in their statements and economic data. This could result in sharp movements and increased volatility.

How to prepare for Jackson Hole

These simple steps will help you assess the market properly and minimize the impact of emotions during sharp price movements during and after the symposium.

Add the speeches of the Fed Chair and other key participants to your calendar.

Identify key levels for gold, major currency pairs, and indices in advance.

Monitor the US dollar’s trend and strength.

Decide on your specific actions for different scenarios.

Remember about possible increased volatility and decide on your position size and acceptable risk in advance.

Don’t rush to enter a trade on the first sharp candlestick. Give the market some time to react and establish a direction.

How will gold react?

XAUUSD

Gold is gradually returning to an uptrend. The price has broken through the downtrend line and is now moving upward. The price has approached the 4570 level.

If the Fed signals a rate cut, gold could receive additional support. A sustained move above the 4570 level would signal continued growth.

On the other hand, if the Fed’s rhetoric suggests that rates will remain unchanged or grow, gold could experience pressure. In that case, the price could drop to the 4335 level.

We hope you are now better prepared for one of the most important events of the year and will be able to make more informed decisions on the major assets.

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