Forex market aspects to watch in 2025

What did we witness in the markets in 2024?

fbs Gold again became a sought-after safe-haven asset, reaching nearly $2800 per ounce. Central banks in important emerging markets increased their gold reserves (e.g., China by 8% and India by 12%).

fbs Cryptocurrencies were on the rise, too. Last year, Bitcoin reached a record high of $108 000, and the cryptocurrency market capitalization rose to approximately $3.8 trillion.

fbs Stock markets have grown significantly:
•S&P 500 by ️23%+ supported by strong corporate earnings
•NASDAQ by 32%+ driven by the popularization of artificial intelligence and increased demand for semiconductors

Forecast for 2025

For long-term trading success, you must understand how important news will impact the markets and where prices will go. Our analysts suggest focusing on three key aspects in 2025: the new Trump administration, central bank policies, and global trade dynamics.

United States policy

Trump’s second term will likely prioritize deregulation, corporate tax cuts, and a strategic realignment of trade with China. These measures aim to stimulate energy, manufacturing, and technology growth.

fbs The US GDP is projected to rise from 2.5% in 2024 to 3.1% in 2025, driven by infrastructure spending and corporate incentives. The energy and industrial sectors are expected to benefit the most from these policies.
fbs However, the side effect is that these measures may temporarily disrupt global trade.

2. Central bank strategies

We suggest that you keep a close eye on the decisions of some key central banks in 2025.

•US Federal Reserve will likely cut the rate by 50 basis points to address slowing inflation (estimated at 2.8–3.0%). This will reduce borrowing costs and boost equity markets.
•European Central Bank will stick to a cautious approach to sustain growth while maintaining a 2% inflation target.
•Emerging markets will focus on the stability of their currencies and inflation control, with Brazil expected to hold the Selic rate at 9.5%.
•People’s Bank of China may cut the rate by 25 basis points to address real estate challenges and boost GDP growth from 4.8% to 5.2%.

3. Global trade shifts

This year, geopolitical shifts and regional trade agreements will reshape global commerce.

•BRICS nations are discussing their shared currency to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
•China will emphasize domestic demand and strengthen ties with ASEAN and Africa, potentially increasing trade volume by 6%.
•The European Union will focus on securing critical minerals and diversifying energy supply chains to mitigate geopolitical risks and enhance economic resilience.

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